How the Autumn 24 budget will affect businesses: three examples

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Autumn 24 budget
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    Page written by Chris Godfrey. Last reviewed on November 13, 2024. Next review due April 6, 2025.

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      We look at the bottom line impact of the budget for a manufacturing, retail and pub business 

      Rachel Reeves unveiled Labour’s first Budget on 30 October. For an overview of the big changes, click here.

      In this blog, we’ll look at how these changes impact three example SMEs. They are:

      1. A technical engineering company MANUFACTURING network and communications systems and based in COVENTRY.
      2. A small chain fashion RETAILER based in LIVERPOOL/MANCHESTER.
      3. A PUB based in CROYDON.
      Characteristics of THREE EXAMPLE SMEs
      MANUFACTURERRETAILERPUB
      Locations1
      Own their premises
      3
      Lease premises
      1
      Own their premises
      Staff53
      (5 on NLW)
      (4 directors)
      20
      (10 on NLW)
      (3 directors)
      9
      (5 on NLW)
      (2 directors)
      Payroll £ cost£1.6m£470k£180k
      Gross turnover p.a£5m£3.5m£500k
      Net Profit % and £9% – £450k15% – £525,00010% – £50k
      NLW = National Living Wage

      Rise in employer NICs

      Both the Pub and the Retailer receive Employer Allowance which reduces their exposure to the rise in employer NICs. The Manufacturer does not. However, all three businesses are liable to pay NICs on all their employees, presenting a 1.2% increase across the board. 

      Here’s a rough example to show how that could play out in the next tax year – 2025/2026:

      MANUFACTURERRETAILERPub
      Total payroll£1,600,000£470,000£180,000
      Employees earning more than £5000 p.a53209
      Payroll after threshold£1,335,000£370,000£135,000
      Old NICs at 13.8%£184,230£370,000£18,630
      New NICs at 15%£200,250£55,500£20,250
      Difference:+£16,020+£4,440£20,250

      Because they receive Employer’s Allowance, both the Retailer and the Pub can reduce their NICs cost by £10,500 per year – £5,500 more than in 2024/2025. The increase in EA wipes out the rise in NICs for both businesses and leaves them paying less than they did in 2023/24. The manufacturer is not so fortunate. They see a real increase of more than +£16k per year – equal to 3.6% of net profits.

      Rise in NLW and minimum wage

      All three businesses are impacted by the rise in NLW. For the sake of this overview we will assume all NLW employees are full-time (35 hrs per week). How does the increase from £11.44 to £12.21per hour – £1,401 per year – impact these employers?

      Manufacturer: 5 NLW workers – increase in wage cost (before NICs): £7,005
      Retailer: 10 NLW workers – increase in wage cost (before NICs): £14,010
      Pub: 5 NLW workers – increase in wage cost (before NICs): £7,005

      What is the total added salary cost for each employer (NLW + NICs increase)?

      Manufacturer: £16,020 + £7,005 = £23,025 (5.11% net profits)
      Retailer: £14,010 – £1,060 (Rise in NIC Employer Allowance delivers net gain) = £12,950 (2.5% net profits)
      Pub: £7,005  – £3,130 (Rise in NIC Employer Allowance delivers net gain) = £3,875 (7.75% net profits)

      Business rates

      All of our sample businesses will pay increased business rates from April 2025. However both the retailer and the pub will enjoy a 40% deduction on their business rates in 2025/26. The actual sum each business will pay depends on their unique rateable value.

      Alcohol duty

      Only the pub sells products that contain alcohol. The Chancellor’s move to reduce duty on draught beers and cider by a penny per pint is good news for that business. They will not pass the cut on to their customers, as per pint it is almost meaningless to customers. However, if the pub sells £5,000 worth of draught beer and cider per week – estimated at 800 pints – that’s a small saving of £8.00 per week, they can keep £416 per year.

      Full Expensing

      The budget maintained this allowance scheme, although it did not extend to cover leased equipment. Only the Manufacturer benefits from Full Expensing, as the Retailer and Pub already claim tax relief on capital expenses through their Annual Investment Allowance (up to £1 million in expenditures). For the Manufacturer, who spends £1.2 million per year on equipment and services, (24% of turnover) the Full Expensing relief is worth 25% of qualifying expenditure – £300,000.  Unfortunately, the Manufacturer also incurs significant leasing costs on equipment that they cannot currently claim back.

      Want to learn more about how the budget will affect your business? We hosted a webinar analysing what the budget means for SMEs. Andrea Reynolds and Ciaran Burke, co-founders at Swoop, were joined by Chris Downing from Sage. Watch the recording here: 

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      Written by

      Chris Godfrey

      Chris is a freelance copywriter and content creator. He has been active in the marketing, advertising, and publishing industries for more than twenty-five years. Writing for Barclays Bank, Metro Bank, Wells Fargo, ABN Amro, Quidco, Legal and General, Inshur Zego, AIG, Met Life, State Farm, Direct Line, insurers and pension funds, his words have appeared online and in print to inform, entertain and explain the complex world of consumer and business finance and insurance.

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